PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro 0–1 Criciúma · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 0–1.

Shots
813
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
1.051.2
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat América Mineiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Criciúma): shots 8–13, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 1.05–1.2, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsAmérica Mineiro 8 shots, Criciúma 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsAmérica Mineiro 1 shot, Criciúma 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.2 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.05 xG, Criciúma 1.2 xG
  • Possession50%50%América Mineiro 50%, Criciúma 50%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersAmérica Mineiro 1 corner, Criciúma 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsAmérica Mineiro 18 fouls, Criciúma 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América Mineiro
1Draws
1Criciúma
Criciúma — América Mineiro · Serie B2–1
América Mineiro — Criciúma · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro14 matchesCriciúma14 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals7/91.29 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots7/9▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/9▲ 4.33 shots/match
52.1%Possession7/9● 55.3%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/9● 6.67 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/914 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 24 Jun 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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