PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ponte Preta 0–2 Novorizontino · Serie B

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 0–2.

Shots
819
Shots on target
07
Expected goals
0.21.52
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Ponte Preta 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Novorizontino): shots 8–19, shots on target 0–7, expected goals 0.2–1.52, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots19 shotsPonte Preta 8 shots, Novorizontino 19 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots7 shotsPonte Preta 0 shots, Novorizontino 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.2 xG1.52 xGPonte Preta 0.2 xG, Novorizontino 1.52 xG
  • Possession26%74%Ponte Preta 26%, Novorizontino 74%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersPonte Preta 4 corners, Novorizontino 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsPonte Preta 13 fouls, Novorizontino 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ponte Preta
0Draws
2Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–1
Ponte Preta — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0
Ponte Preta — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta14 matchesNovorizontino14 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.93 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals5/7▲ 1.74 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots5/7▲ 16.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/7▲ 5.86 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/7● 50.3%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/7● 5.86 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/713.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 23 Jun 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headPonte Preta — Novorizontino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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