PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Cuiabá 2–2 Londrina · Serie B

Cuiabá

DWWWL
2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá and Londrina drew 2–2.

Shots
247
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.671.04
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá and Londrina drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Londrina): shots 24–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.67–1.04, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots7 shotsCuiabá 24 shots, Londrina 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsCuiabá 6 shots, Londrina 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.67 xG1.04 xGCuiabá 2.67 xG, Londrina 1.04 xG
  • Possession67%33%Cuiabá 67%, Londrina 33%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersCuiabá 9 corners, Londrina 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsCuiabá 14 fouls, Londrina 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá15 matchesLondrina15 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.27 goals/match
0.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/71.03 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots6/711.4 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/74 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession6/744.6%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners6/75 corners/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls6/712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Jun 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáLondrina
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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