Serie B · 2026

Athletic Club 1–0 Avaí · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

Avaí

LLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletic Club
0Draws
1Avaí
Avaí — Athletic Club · Serie B2–1
Athletic Club — Avaí · Serie B4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club15 matchesAvaí15 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.4 goals/match
0.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/70.73 xG/match
7.5 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 10.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 3.57 shots/match
38.9%Possession8/7● 50.9%
3.25 corners/match ●Corners8/72.57 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls8/714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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