PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Ressacada

Avaí 1–0 Cuiabá · Serie B

Avaí

LLLLL
1–0Full-time analysis

Cuiabá

DDWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: cuiaba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Cuiaba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiaba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.64 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
1Draws
2Cuiabá
Avaí — Cuiabá · Serie B2–0
Cuiabá — Avaí · Serie B2–2
Cuiabá — Avaí · Serie A1–0
Avaí — Cuiabá · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí14 matchesCuiabá14 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.64 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.43 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals7/5▲ 1.21 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/5▲ 12 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession7/544.6%
2.57 corners/matchCorners7/5● 4.6 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/517.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíCuiabá
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAvaí — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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