PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Londrina 3–2 Avaí · Serie B

3–2Full-time analysis

Avaí

DLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Londrina won 3–2.

Shots
186
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.170.74
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina beat Avaí 3–2. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Avaí): shots 18–6, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.17–0.74, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots6 shotsLondrina 18 shots, Avaí 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsLondrina 7 shots, Avaí 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.74 xGLondrina 1.17 xG, Avaí 0.74 xG
  • Possession49%51%Londrina 49%, Avaí 51%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersLondrina 9 corners, Avaí 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsLondrina 15 fouls, Avaí 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
2Draws
0Avaí
Londrina — Avaí · Serie B1–1
Avaí — Londrina · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina13 matchesAvaí13 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/70.73 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/710.6 shots/match
4.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/73.57 shots/match
46.5%Possession6/7● 50.9%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners6/72.57 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaAvaí
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headLondrina — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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