PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Criciúma 1–1 Ceará · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

Ceará

LWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma and Ceará drew 1–1.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.851.13
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma and Ceará drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Ceará): shots 16–14, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.85–1.13, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma have a visible home split

moderate

Criciúma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match15 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsCriciúma 16 shots, Ceará 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsCriciúma 6 shots, Ceará 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG1.13 xGCriciúma 1.85 xG, Ceará 1.13 xG
  • Possession58%42%Criciúma 58%, Ceará 42%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersCriciúma 3 corners, Ceará 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsCriciúma 15 fouls, Ceará 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Criciúma
0Draws
2Ceará
Ceará — Criciúma · Serie B1–0
Criciúma — Ceará · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma13 matchesCeará13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.15 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.15 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/61.08 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots8/612.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target8/64.33 shots/match
56% ●Possession8/646.2%
6.63 corners/match ●Corners8/65.67 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls8/615.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCriciúma — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required