PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza 0–3 América Mineiro · Serie B

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro won 0–3.

Shots
258
Shots on target
107
Expected goals
1.713.03
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro beat Fortaleza 3–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – América Mineiro): shots 25–8, shots on target 10–7, expected goals 1.71–3.03, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots8 shotsFortaleza 25 shots, América Mineiro 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots7 shotsFortaleza 10 shots, América Mineiro 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG3.03 xGFortaleza 1.71 xG, América Mineiro 3.03 xG
  • Possession65%35%Fortaleza 65%, América Mineiro 35%
  • Corners10 corners0 cornersFortaleza 10 corners, América Mineiro 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsFortaleza 11 fouls, América Mineiro 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fortaleza
0Draws
1América Mineiro
Fortaleza — América Mineiro · Serie A3–2
América Mineiro — Fortaleza · Serie A2–1
América Mineiro — Fortaleza · Serie A1–2
Fortaleza — América Mineiro · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza13 matchesAmérica Mineiro13 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.77 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.85 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.29 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/611.8 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match
48.7%Possession6/6● 52.5%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners6/64.83 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 17 Jun 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headFortaleza — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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