PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

São Bernardo 0–1 Juventude · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 0–1.

Shots
178
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.850.6
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat São Bernardo 1–0. Recorded in this match (São Bernardo – Juventude): shots 17–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.85–0.6, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsSão Bernardo 17 shots, Juventude 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsSão Bernardo 5 shots, Juventude 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.6 xGSão Bernardo 0.85 xG, Juventude 0.6 xG
  • Possession57%43%São Bernardo 57%, Juventude 43%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersSão Bernardo 1 corner, Juventude 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsSão Bernardo 16 fouls, Juventude 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo14 matchesJuventude14 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141 goal/match
0.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/30.53 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/38.33 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/33.33 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession6/347.3%
3.33 corners/match ●Corners6/33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls6/314.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 22 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão BernardoJuventude
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required