PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar FC 2–2 Millonarios · Primera A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC and Millonarios drew 2–2.

Shots
716
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
1.442.8
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar and Millonarios drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar – Millonarios): shots 7–16, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 1.44–2.8, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 7 shots, Millonarios 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 4 shots, Millonarios 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG2.8 xGAlianza Valledupar FC 1.44 xG, Millonarios 2.8 xG
  • Possession44%56%Alianza Valledupar FC 44%, Millonarios 56%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 3 corners, Millonarios 8 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 16 fouls, Millonarios 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards3 cardsAlianza Valledupar FC 6 cards, Millonarios 3 cards
  • Passes311 passes385 passesAlianza Valledupar FC 311 passes, Millonarios 385 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%74%Alianza Valledupar FC 77%, Millonarios 74%
  • Shots inside box4 shots12 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 4 shots, Millonarios 12 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksAlianza Valledupar FC 1 block, Millonarios 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves2 savesAlianza Valledupar FC 7 saves, Millonarios 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideAlianza Valledupar FC 3 offsides, Millonarios 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Millonarios in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC19 matchesMillonarios19 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals16/15▲ 1.38 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 15.4 shots/match
2.74 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 5.32 shots/match
45.5%Possession19/19● 47.3%
4.37 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.79 corners/match
4.6 cards/matchCards5/64.5 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCMillonarios
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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