PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Deportes Tolima 1–1 Deportivo Cali · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali drew 1–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.341.37
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Cali): shots 13–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.34–1.37, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Tolima's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportes Tolima's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.42 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes Tolima have a visible home split

moderate

Deportes Tolima's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsDeportes Tolima 13 shots, Deportivo Cali 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsDeportes Tolima 4 shots, Deportivo Cali 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.37 xGDeportes Tolima 1.34 xG, Deportivo Cali 1.37 xG
  • Possession45%55%Deportes Tolima 45%, Deportivo Cali 55%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersDeportes Tolima 5 corners, Deportivo Cali 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsDeportes Tolima 9 fouls, Deportivo Cali 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsDeportes Tolima 5 cards, Deportivo Cali 3 cards
  • Passes333 passes399 passesDeportes Tolima 333 passes, Deportivo Cali 399 passes
  • Pass accuracy72%76%Deportes Tolima 72%, Deportivo Cali 76%
  • Shots inside box4 shots5 shotsDeportes Tolima 4 shots, Deportivo Cali 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksDeportes Tolima 1 block, Deportivo Cali 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesDeportes Tolima 4 saves, Deportivo Cali 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesDeportes Tolima 0 offsides, Deportivo Cali 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Tolima favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Tolima19 matchesDeportivo Cali19 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.05 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/160.99 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots19/1912.5 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.84 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession19/1950.7%
4.79 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.11 corners/match
3.88 cards/matchCards8/84.38 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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