PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogotá 0–1 Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla won 0–1.

Shots
207
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.520.76
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior beat Internacional de Bogota 1–0. Recorded in this match (Internacional de Bogota – Junior): shots 20–7, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.52–0.76, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional de Bogota's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional de Bogota's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Internacional de Bogota have a visible home split

moderate

Internacional de Bogota's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Junior.

7.82 days ▲Rest daysInternacional de Bogota · Junior4.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInternacional de BogotaJuniorBaseline
Rest days7.82 days4.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 20 shots, Junior Barranquilla 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 6 shots, Junior Barranquilla 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.76 xGInternacional de Bogotá 1.52 xG, Junior Barranquilla 0.76 xG
  • Possession51%49%Internacional de Bogotá 51%, Junior Barranquilla 49%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersInternacional de Bogotá 6 corners, Junior Barranquilla 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsInternacional de Bogotá 6 fouls, Junior Barranquilla 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsInternacional de Bogotá 2 cards, Junior Barranquilla 3 cards
  • Passes351 passes351 passesInternacional de Bogotá 351 passes, Junior Barranquilla 351 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%82%Internacional de Bogotá 82%, Junior Barranquilla 82%
  • Shots inside box13 shots4 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 13 shots, Junior Barranquilla 4 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockInternacional de Bogotá 6 blocks, Junior Barranquilla 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesInternacional de Bogotá 3 saves, Junior Barranquilla 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesInternacional de Bogotá 1 offside, Junior Barranquilla 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá14 matchesJunior Barranquilla14 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals9/12▲ 1.24 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots14/1413.2 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.71 shots/match
46.5%Possession14/14● 53.6%
4.93 corners/matchCorners14/144.93 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 30 Mar 2026, 01:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacional de BogotáJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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