PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior Barranquilla 2–0 Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla won 2–0.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.460.74
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior beat Bucaramanga 2–0. Recorded in this match (Junior – Bucaramanga): shots 10–16, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.46–0.74, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Junior's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Junior's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.46 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Junior, Bucaramanga.

4.9 days ▲Rest daysJunior · Bucaramanga5.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuniorBucaramangaBaseline
Rest days4.9 days5.94 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsJunior Barranquilla 10 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsJunior Barranquilla 2 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.46 xG0.74 xGJunior Barranquilla 0.46 xG, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.74 xG
  • Possession46%54%Junior Barranquilla 46%, Atlético Bucaramanga 54%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersJunior Barranquilla 6 corners, Atlético Bucaramanga 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls8 foulsJunior Barranquilla 17 fouls, Atlético Bucaramanga 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardJunior Barranquilla 2 cards, Atlético Bucaramanga 1 card
  • Passes322 passes369 passesJunior Barranquilla 322 passes, Atlético Bucaramanga 369 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%78%Junior Barranquilla 79%, Atlético Bucaramanga 78%
  • Shots inside box3 shots6 shotsJunior Barranquilla 3 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks7 blocksJunior Barranquilla 2 blocks, Atlético Bucaramanga 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves0 savesJunior Barranquilla 6 saves, Atlético Bucaramanga 0 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideJunior Barranquilla 3 offsides, Atlético Bucaramanga 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Junior Barranquilla favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Bucaramanga in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Junior Barranquilla13 matchesAtlético Bucaramanga12 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/121.33 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/70.88 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots13/1212.7 shots/match
4.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/123.92 shots/match
54% ●Possession13/1252.7%
5.15 corners/match ●Corners13/124.92 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Mar 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJunior BarranquillaAtlético Bucaramanga
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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