Primera A · 2026Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali 1–1 Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Cali and Independiente Santa Fe drew 1–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
0.630.88
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Cali and Santa Fe drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Cali – Santa Fe): shots 14–9, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 0.63–0.88, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Santa Fe.

4.18 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Cali · Santa Fe4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo CaliSanta FeBaseline
Rest days4.18 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.17 corners/matchCornersDeportivo Cali · Santa Fe● 5.64 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo CaliSanta FeBaseline
Corners5.17 corners/match5.64 corners/match4.65 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsDeportivo Cali 14 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsDeportivo Cali 7 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG0.88 xGDeportivo Cali 0.63 xG, Independiente Santa Fe 0.88 xG
  • Possession48%52%Deportivo Cali 48%, Independiente Santa Fe 52%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersDeportivo Cali 6 corners, Independiente Santa Fe 9 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsDeportivo Cali 14 fouls, Independiente Santa Fe 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsDeportivo Cali 4 cards, Independiente Santa Fe 4 cards
  • Passes270 passes301 passesDeportivo Cali 270 passes, Independiente Santa Fe 301 passes
  • Pass accuracy74%78%Deportivo Cali 74%, Independiente Santa Fe 78%
  • Shots inside box6 shots5 shotsDeportivo Cali 6 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksDeportivo Cali 3 blocks, Independiente Santa Fe 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesDeportivo Cali 3 saves, Independiente Santa Fe 6 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesDeportivo Cali 0 offsides, Independiente Santa Fe 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali12 matchesIndependiente Santa Fe11 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/111.09 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/111.27 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.06 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 12.7 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 4.82 shots/match
49.9%Possession12/11● 50.3%
5.17 corners/matchCorners12/11● 5.64 corners/match
5 cards/matchCards6/34.67 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1111.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Mar 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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