PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Independiente Santa Fe 1–1 Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Santa Fe and Alianza Valledupar FC drew 1–1.

Shots
87
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.650.24
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Fe and Alianza Valledupar drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Santa Fe – Alianza Valledupar): shots 8–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.65–0.24, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar's recent record differs from the season

weak

Alianza Valledupar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 8 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotIndependiente Santa Fe 4 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.24 xGIndependiente Santa Fe 0.65 xG, Alianza Valledupar FC 0.24 xG
  • Possession55%45%Independiente Santa Fe 55%, Alianza Valledupar FC 45%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersIndependiente Santa Fe 7 corners, Alianza Valledupar FC 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls6 foulsIndependiente Santa Fe 7 fouls, Alianza Valledupar FC 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsIndependiente Santa Fe 2 cards, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 cards
  • Passes419 passes336 passesIndependiente Santa Fe 419 passes, Alianza Valledupar FC 336 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%78%Independiente Santa Fe 84%, Alianza Valledupar FC 78%
  • Shots inside box4 shots2 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 4 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksIndependiente Santa Fe 3 blocks, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesIndependiente Santa Fe 0 saves, Alianza Valledupar FC 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesIndependiente Santa Fe 2 offsides, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe10 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC10 matches
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/70.72 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession10/1047.4%
5.3 corners/match ●Corners10/104.5 corners/match
4.67 cards/matchCards3/34.67 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente Santa FeAlianza Valledupar FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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