PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio La Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FC 2–1 Millonarios · Primera A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Boyacá Chicó FC won 2–1.

Shots
922
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.411.89
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chico beat Millonarios 2–1. Recorded in this match (Chico – Millonarios): shots 9–22, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.41–1.89, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Millonarios show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Millonarios's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsChico · Millonarios15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChicoMillonariosBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots22 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 9 shots, Millonarios 22 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 3 shots, Millonarios 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG1.89 xGBoyacá Chicó FC 1.41 xG, Millonarios 1.89 xG
  • Possession47%53%Boyacá Chicó FC 47%, Millonarios 53%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersBoyacá Chicó FC 4 corners, Millonarios 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsBoyacá Chicó FC 14 fouls, Millonarios 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards8 cards6 cardsBoyacá Chicó FC 8 cards, Millonarios 6 cards
  • Passes282 passes312 passesBoyacá Chicó FC 282 passes, Millonarios 312 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%77%Boyacá Chicó FC 73%, Millonarios 77%
  • Shots inside box6 shots14 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 6 shots, Millonarios 14 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksBoyacá Chicó FC 3 blocks, Millonarios 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves1 saveBoyacá Chicó FC 6 saves, Millonarios 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideBoyacá Chicó FC 1 offside, Millonarios 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boyacá Chicó FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Millonarios in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boyacá Chicó FC10 matchesMillonarios11 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/11▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/11▲ 1.18 goals/match
0.64 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲ 1.43 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots10/11▲ 15.3 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲ 4.64 shots/match
44.8%Possession10/11● 46.4%
2.7 corners/matchCorners10/11● 5.09 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards4/35 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1111.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBoyacá Chicó FCMillonarios
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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