PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar FC 1–0 Deportivo Cali · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC won 1–0.

Shots
77
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.730.45
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar beat Deportivo Cali 1–0. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar – Deportivo Cali): shots 7–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.73–0.45, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.58 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Alianza Valledupar, Deportivo Cali.

2.99 days ▲Rest daysAlianza Valledupar · Deportivo Cali3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAlianza ValleduparDeportivo CaliBaseline
Rest days2.99 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots7 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 7 shots, Deportivo Cali 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotAlianza Valledupar FC 4 shots, Deportivo Cali 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.45 xGAlianza Valledupar FC 0.73 xG, Deportivo Cali 0.45 xG
  • Possession40%60%Alianza Valledupar FC 40%, Deportivo Cali 60%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 2 corners, Deportivo Cali 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 13 fouls, Deportivo Cali 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAlianza Valledupar FC 2 cards, Deportivo Cali 1 card
  • Passes293 passes446 passesAlianza Valledupar FC 293 passes, Deportivo Cali 446 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%78%Alianza Valledupar FC 76%, Deportivo Cali 78%
  • Shots inside box5 shots2 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 5 shots, Deportivo Cali 2 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockAlianza Valledupar FC 1 block, Deportivo Cali 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesAlianza Valledupar FC 1 save, Deportivo Cali 3 saves
  • Offsides6 offsides0 offsidesAlianza Valledupar FC 6 offsides, Deportivo Cali 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 8 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC12 matchesDeportivo Cali13 matches
0.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲ 0.92 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲ 0.78 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots12/13▲ 11.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target12/13▲ 3.92 shots/match
45.8%Possession12/13● 50.7%
4.08 corners/matchCorners12/13● 5.23 corners/match
4.67 cards/matchCards3/65 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1315.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Mar 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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