Primera A · 2026Olimpico Pascual Guerrero

América de Cali 1–0 Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali won 1–0.

Shots
1912
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.40.76
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

America de Cali beat Santa Fe 1–0. Recorded in this match (America de Cali – Santa Fe): shots 19–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.4–0.76, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

America de Cali have a visible home split

weak

America de Cali's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Santa Fe show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Santa Fe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAmerica de Cali · Santa Fe14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAmerica de CaliSanta FeBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots12 shotsAmérica de Cali 19 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsAmérica de Cali 6 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG0.76 xGAmérica de Cali 1.4 xG, Independiente Santa Fe 0.76 xG
  • Possession61%39%América de Cali 61%, Independiente Santa Fe 39%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersAmérica de Cali 1 corner, Independiente Santa Fe 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsAmérica de Cali 12 fouls, Independiente Santa Fe 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsAmérica de Cali 5 cards, Independiente Santa Fe 3 cards
  • Passes468 passes299 passesAmérica de Cali 468 passes, Independiente Santa Fe 299 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%73%América de Cali 84%, Independiente Santa Fe 73%
  • Shots inside box6 shots5 shotsAmérica de Cali 6 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 5 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockAmérica de Cali 6 blocks, Independiente Santa Fe 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves5 savesAmérica de Cali 4 saves, Independiente Santa Fe 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesAmérica de Cali 3 offsides, Independiente Santa Fe 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América de Cali favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América de Cali5 matchesIndependiente Santa Fe6 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/61 goal/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/61 goal/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/40.83 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/6▲ 14.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲ 5.33 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession5/650.5%
1.6 corners/matchCorners5/6● 5.67 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/612.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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