Primera A · 2026Estadio Jaraguay

Jaguares de Córdoba 3–1 Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jaguares de Córdoba won 3–1.

Shots
915
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.31.94
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jaguares beat Santa Fe 3–1. Recorded in this match (Jaguares – Santa Fe): shots 9–15, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.3–1.94, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Santa Fe.

5.08 days ▲Rest daysJaguares · Santa Fe3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJaguaresSanta FeBaseline
Rest days5.08 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Jaguares show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Jaguares's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsJaguares · Santa Fe14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJaguaresSanta FeBaseline
Shots7 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 9 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 5 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.94 xGJaguares de Córdoba 1.3 xG, Independiente Santa Fe 1.94 xG
  • Possession41%59%Jaguares de Córdoba 41%, Independiente Santa Fe 59%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersJaguares de Córdoba 1 corner, Independiente Santa Fe 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsJaguares de Córdoba 13 fouls, Independiente Santa Fe 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardJaguares de Córdoba 5 cards, Independiente Santa Fe 1 card
  • Passes309 passes442 passesJaguares de Córdoba 309 passes, Independiente Santa Fe 442 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%87%Jaguares de Córdoba 80%, Independiente Santa Fe 87%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 7 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block5 blocksJaguares de Córdoba 1 block, Independiente Santa Fe 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesJaguares de Córdoba 4 saves, Independiente Santa Fe 2 saves

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jaguares de Córdoba favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jaguares de Córdoba6 matchesIndependiente Santa Fe7 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/71 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.59 xG/matchExpected goals3/5▲ 1.05 xG/match
7 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 14.3 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 5.29 shots/match
46.2%Possession6/7● 51.7%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/7● 5.57 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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