PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar FC 1–1 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC and Cúcuta Deportivo drew 1–1.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.541.07
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar and Cucuta drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar – Cucuta): shots 14–10, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.54–1.07, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cucuta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cucuta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAlianza Valledupar · Cucuta7.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlianza ValleduparCucutaBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match7.71 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match16.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Alianza Valledupar have a visible home split

weak

Alianza Valledupar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Alianza Valledupar's recent record differs from the season

weak

Alianza Valledupar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 14 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 4 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG1.07 xGAlianza Valledupar FC 1.54 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 1.07 xG
  • Possession54%46%Alianza Valledupar FC 54%, Cúcuta Deportivo 46%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 7 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 12 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards6 cardsAlianza Valledupar FC 4 cards, Cúcuta Deportivo 6 cards
  • Passes308 passes284 passesAlianza Valledupar FC 308 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 284 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%74%Alianza Valledupar FC 82%, Cúcuta Deportivo 74%
  • Shots inside box10 shots2 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 10 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockAlianza Valledupar FC 3 blocks, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesAlianza Valledupar FC 4 saves, Cúcuta Deportivo 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideAlianza Valledupar FC 1 offside, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC6 matchesCúcuta Deportivo7 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/72 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.11 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/77.71 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 3.29 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession6/745.4%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners6/72.43 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCCúcuta Deportivo
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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