PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Deportes Concepción vs Unión La Calera · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.091
Expected goals
0.720.74
Shots
13.310.7
Possession
46.6%50%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: unión La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Unión La Calera's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Unión La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Concepción favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Unión La Calera in 0 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Concepción23 matchesUnión La Calera23 matches
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231 goal/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.52 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.74 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots23/2310.7 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target23/233.57 shots/match
46.6%Possession23/23● 50%
4.48 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.35 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards6/42.25 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls23/239.87 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes Concepción
0Draws
1Unión La Calera
Unión La Calera — Deportes Concepción · Primera División1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes ConcepciónUnión La Calera
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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