PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Deportes La Serena vs Deportes Concepción · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.08
Shots
11.413.4
Possession
47.1%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportes Concepción's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Deportes Concepción's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportes Concepción's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes La Serena favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Concepción in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes La Serena24 matchesDeportes Concepción24 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.08 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.13 goals/match
11.4 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.79 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession24/2446.6%
3.92 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.46 corners/match
4.83 cards/matchCards6/62.83 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes La Serena
1Draws
0Deportes Concepción
Deportes Concepción — Deportes La Serena · Primera División3–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDeportes La SerenaDeportes Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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