PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Deportes La Serena vs Deportes Concepción · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.481.09
Shots
11.513.3
Possession
47.4%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: concepción's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Concepción's recent record differs from the season

weak

Concepción's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes La Serena favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Concepción in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes La Serena23 matchesDeportes Concepción23 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.09 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.13 goals/match
11.5 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.7 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession23/2346.6%
4.04 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.48 corners/match
4.4 cards/matchCards5/62.83 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes La Serena
1Draws
0Deportes Concepción
Deportes Concepción — Deportes La Serena · Primera División3–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness41 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDeportes La SerenaDeportes Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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