Primera División · 2026Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador

Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepción · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.390.77
Shots
14.312.3
Possession
44.1%48.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: cobresal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: universidad de Concepcion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Cobresal have a visible home split

moderate

Cobresal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Universidad de Concepcion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Universidad de Concepcion's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad de Concepcion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Universidad de Concepcion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCobresal · Universidad de Concepcion12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCobresalUniversidad de ConcepcionBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cobresal favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad de Concepción in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cobresal23 matchesUniversidad de Concepción22 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/220.77 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 1.68 goals/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots23/2212.3 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/224.05 shots/match
44.1%Possession23/22● 48.5%
4.87 corners/matchCorners23/22● 4.95 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2211 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cobresal
0Draws
1Universidad de Concepción
Universidad de Concepción — Cobresal · Primera División1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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