PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Universidad de Concepción vs Huachipato · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.771.36
Expected goals
1.351.13
Shots
12.311.6
Possession
48.5%45.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: huachipato's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: universidad de Concepción's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Huachipato's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Huachipato's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad de Concepción show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Universidad de Concepción's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad de Concepción · Huachipato11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ConcepciónHuachipatoBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Concepción favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Huachipato in 3 · 7 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Concepción22 matchesHuachipato22 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.77 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/41.13 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots22/2111.6 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 4.29 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession22/2145.7%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners22/213.52 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/2110.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Universidad de Concepción
0Draws
1Huachipato
Huachipato — Universidad de Concepción · Primera División5–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ConcepciónHuachipato
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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