PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.171.13
Expected goals
1.680.93
Shots
13.111.3
Possession
54%48.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: audax Italiano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: audax Italiano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Audax Italiano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Audax Italiano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Audax Italiano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Audax Italiano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad Católica · Audax Italiano11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaAudax ItalianoBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Audax Italiano in 2 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica23 matchesAudax Italiano23 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.13 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/60.93 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots23/2311.3 shots/match
4.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.26 shots/match
54% ●Possession23/2348.8%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners23/233.91 corners/match
4.3 cards/matchCards10/83.5 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls23/239.78 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Universidad Católica
2Draws
1Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–4
Audax Italiano — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1
Universidad Católica — Audax Italiano · Primera División3–1
Audax Italiano — Universidad Católica · Primera División2–1
Universidad Católica — Audax Italiano · Primera División0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaAudax Italiano
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Audax Italiano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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