PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica · Primera División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
12.17
Expected goals
0.741.68
Shots
10.713.1
Possession
50%54%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: union La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: union La Calera's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Union La Calera's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Union La Calera show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Union La Calera's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion La Calera · U. Catolica13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion La CaleraU. CatolicaBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Unión La Calera favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 8 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Unión La Calera23 matchesUniversidad Católica23 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.17 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.43 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.68 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.61 shots/match
50%Possession23/23● 54%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners23/235.04 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/104.3 cards/match
9.87 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Unión La Calera
2Draws
2Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera · Primera División1–2
Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera · Primera División2–1
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1
Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera · Primera División2–0
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUnión La CaleraUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headUnión La Calera — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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