PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Municipal Nicolas Chahuan

Unión La Calera 1–0 Deportes Concepción · Primera División

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Unión La Calera won 1–0.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.320.37
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union La Calera beat Concepción 1–0. Recorded in this match (Union La Calera – Concepción): shots 18–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.32–0.37, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Concepción's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Concepción's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.44 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Union La Calera have a visible home split

moderate

Union La Calera's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.22 corners/match ●CornersUnion La Calera · Concepción5.56 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUnion La CaleraConcepciónBaseline
Corners6.22 corners/match5.56 corners/match4.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsUnión La Calera 18 shots, Deportes Concepción 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsUnión La Calera 3 shots, Deportes Concepción 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.37 xGUnión La Calera 1.32 xG, Deportes Concepción 0.37 xG
  • Possession44%56%Unión La Calera 44%, Deportes Concepción 56%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersUnión La Calera 8 corners, Deportes Concepción 8 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls7 foulsUnión La Calera 5 fouls, Deportes Concepción 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsUnión La Calera 1 card, Deportes Concepción 3 cards
  • Passes365 passes480 passesUnión La Calera 365 passes, Deportes Concepción 480 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%82%Unión La Calera 79%, Deportes Concepción 82%
  • Shots inside box12 shots5 shotsUnión La Calera 12 shots, Deportes Concepción 5 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksUnión La Calera 6 blocks, Deportes Concepción 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesUnión La Calera 3 saves, Deportes Concepción 2 saves

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Unión La Calera favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Concepción in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Unión La Calera9 matchesDeportes Concepción9 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
0.56 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲ 0.72 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.78 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession9/950.2%
6.22 corners/match ●Corners9/95.56 corners/match
9.78 fouls/matchFouls9/910.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUnión La CaleraDeportes Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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