PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Ester Roa

Deportes Concepción 3–3 Deportes La Serena · Primera División

3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Concepción and Deportes La Serena drew 3–3.

Shots
910
Shots on target
33
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Concepción and D. La Serena drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Concepción – D. La Serena): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–3, possession 45%–55%, corners 1–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

D. La Serena's recent record differs from the season

moderate

D. La Serena's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsDeportes Concepción 9 shots, Deportes La Serena 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsDeportes Concepción 3 shots, Deportes La Serena 3 shots
  • Possession45%55%Deportes Concepción 45%, Deportes La Serena 55%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersDeportes Concepción 1 corner, Deportes La Serena 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsDeportes Concepción 7 fouls, Deportes La Serena 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsDeportes Concepción 1 card, Deportes La Serena 3 cards
  • Passes272 passes336 passesDeportes Concepción 272 passes, Deportes La Serena 336 passes
  • Pass accuracy66%75%Deportes Concepción 66%, Deportes La Serena 75%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsDeportes Concepción 7 shots, Deportes La Serena 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksDeportes Concepción 1 block, Deportes La Serena 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesDeportes Concepción 1 save, Deportes La Serena 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesDeportes Concepción 0 offsides, Deportes La Serena 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Concepción favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes La Serena in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Concepción10 matchesDeportes La Serena10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/109.9 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 3.8 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession10/1049.2%
5.1 corners/match ●Corners10/104.2 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/34.33 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDeportes ConcepciónDeportes La Serena
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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