PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Claro Arena

Universidad Católica 1–2 Unión La Calera · Primera División

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Unión La Calera won 1–2.

Shots
119
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.191.27
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union La Calera beat U. Catolica 2–1. Recorded in this match (U. Catolica – Union La Calera): shots 11–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.19–1.27, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union La Calera have a visible away split

moderate

Union La Calera's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Union La Calera show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Union La Calera's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsU. Catolica · Union La Calera10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricU. CatolicaUnion La CaleraBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Union La Calera's recent record differs from the season

weak

Union La Calera's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsUniversidad Católica 11 shots, Unión La Calera 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsUniversidad Católica 5 shots, Unión La Calera 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG1.27 xGUniversidad Católica 1.19 xG, Unión La Calera 1.27 xG
  • Possession58%42%Universidad Católica 58%, Unión La Calera 42%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersUniversidad Católica 6 corners, Unión La Calera 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsUniversidad Católica 8 fouls, Unión La Calera 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsUniversidad Católica 5 cards, Unión La Calera 2 cards
  • Passes475 passes347 passesUniversidad Católica 475 passes, Unión La Calera 347 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%76%Universidad Católica 84%, Unión La Calera 76%
  • Shots inside box6 shots7 shotsUniversidad Católica 6 shots, Unión La Calera 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks0 blocksUniversidad Católica 4 blocks, Unión La Calera 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesUniversidad Católica 2 saves, Unión La Calera 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesUniversidad Católica 3 offsides, Unión La Calera 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Universidad Católica
2Draws
0Unión La Calera
Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera · Primera División2–1
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1
Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera · Primera División2–0
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–0
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Unión La Calera in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica10 matchesUnión La Calera10 matches
2.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/40.74 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match
58.2% ●Possession10/1051.1%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.9 corners/match
4.75 cards/matchCards8/32.33 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaUnión La Calera
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Unión La Calera
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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