PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Universidad de Chile 1–0 Universidad Católica · Primera División

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Chile won 1–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
44
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Chile beat U. Catolica 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Chile – U. Catolica): shots 15–7, shots on target 4–4, possession 48%–52%, corners 7–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Chile's recent record differs from the season

weak

Universidad de Chile's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad de Chile show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Universidad de Chile's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad de Chile · U. Catolica13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ChileU. CatolicaBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.91 shots/match10.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsUniversidad de Chile 15 shots, Universidad Católica 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsUniversidad de Chile 4 shots, Universidad Católica 4 shots
  • Possession48%52%Universidad de Chile 48%, Universidad Católica 52%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersUniversidad de Chile 7 corners, Universidad Católica 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsUniversidad de Chile 10 fouls, Universidad Católica 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsUniversidad de Chile 4 cards, Universidad Católica 5 cards
  • Passes363 passes387 passesUniversidad de Chile 363 passes, Universidad Católica 387 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%76%Universidad de Chile 75%, Universidad Católica 76%
  • Shots inside box8 shots4 shotsUniversidad de Chile 8 shots, Universidad Católica 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks0 blocksUniversidad de Chile 3 blocks, Universidad Católica 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesUniversidad de Chile 4 saves, Universidad Católica 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside6 offsidesUniversidad de Chile 1 offside, Universidad Católica 6 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Universidad de Chile
0Draws
2Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–0
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–0
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–2
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–2
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Chile favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Chile11 matchesUniversidad Católica11 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 2.18 goals/match
0.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.55 goals/match
11.2 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 13 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.27 shots/match
55.1%Possession11/11● 57.6%
5.45 corners/match ●Corners11/114.45 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ChileUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headUniversidad de Chile — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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