PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Ñublense 0–2 O'Higgins · Primera División

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

O'Higgins won 0–2.

Shots
157
Shots on target
25
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

O'Higgins beat Nublense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nublense – O'Higgins): shots 15–7, shots on target 2–5, possession 46%–54%, corners 4–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

O'Higgins show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

O'Higgins's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsNublense · O'Higgins12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNublenseO'HigginsBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.09 shots/match11.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsÑublense 15 shots, O'Higgins 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsÑublense 2 shots, O'Higgins 5 shots
  • Possession46%54%Ñublense 46%, O'Higgins 54%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersÑublense 4 corners, O'Higgins 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsÑublense 11 fouls, O'Higgins 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsÑublense 2 cards, O'Higgins 2 cards
  • Passes396 passes482 passesÑublense 396 passes, O'Higgins 482 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%82%Ñublense 77%, O'Higgins 82%
  • Shots inside box14 shots5 shotsÑublense 14 shots, O'Higgins 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockÑublense 4 blocks, O'Higgins 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesÑublense 3 saves, O'Higgins 2 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideÑublense 4 offsides, O'Higgins 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
1Draws
2O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División4–2
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División0–1
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–3
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense11 matchesO'Higgins11 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.55 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
12.4 shots/matchShots11/1112.5 shots/match
3.45 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.55 shots/match
46.7%Possession11/11● 50.7%
4.55 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls11/119.82 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headÑublense — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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