PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

Huachipato 3–2 Audax Italiano · Primera División

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Huachipato won 3–2.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.31
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Huachipato beat A. Italiano 3–2. Recorded in this match (Huachipato – A. Italiano): shots 11–15, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.3–1, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

A. Italiano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

A. Italiano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsHuachipato 11 shots, Audax Italiano 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsHuachipato 5 shots, Audax Italiano 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1 xGHuachipato 1.3 xG, Audax Italiano 1 xG
  • Possession49%51%Huachipato 49%, Audax Italiano 51%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersHuachipato 1 corner, Audax Italiano 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls6 foulsHuachipato 10 fouls, Audax Italiano 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsHuachipato 4 cards, Audax Italiano 2 cards
  • Passes317 passes342 passesHuachipato 317 passes, Audax Italiano 342 passes
  • Pass accuracy72%76%Huachipato 72%, Audax Italiano 76%
  • Shots inside box8 shots5 shotsHuachipato 8 shots, Audax Italiano 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksHuachipato 3 blocks, Audax Italiano 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesHuachipato 2 saves, Audax Italiano 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideHuachipato 0 offsides, Audax Italiano 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Huachipato
0Draws
2Audax Italiano
Huachipato — Audax Italiano · Primera División2–1
Audax Italiano — Huachipato · Primera División4–3
Audax Italiano — Huachipato · Primera División0–2
Huachipato — Audax Italiano · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — Audax Italiano · Primera División2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huachipato favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Audax Italiano in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huachipato10 matchesAudax Italiano10 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.88 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
5.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match
47.6%Possession10/10● 51.1%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 04:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuachipatoAudax Italiano
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headHuachipato — Audax Italiano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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