PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Ester Roa

Universidad de Concepción 1–0 Cobresal · Primera División

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Concepción won 1–0.

Shots
811
Shots on target
21
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Concepcion beat Cobresal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Concepcion – Cobresal): shots 8–11, shots on target 2–1, possession 49%–51%, corners 4–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Concepcion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Universidad de Concepcion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad de Concepcion · Cobresal12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionCobresalBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match17.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cobresal have a visible away split

moderate

Cobresal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.44 corners/matchCornersUniversidad de Concepcion · Cobresal5.44 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionCobresalBaseline
Corners5.44 corners/match5.44 corners/match4.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsUniversidad de Concepción 8 shots, Cobresal 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotUniversidad de Concepción 2 shots, Cobresal 1 shot
  • Possession49%51%Universidad de Concepción 49%, Cobresal 51%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersUniversidad de Concepción 4 corners, Cobresal 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsUniversidad de Concepción 11 fouls, Cobresal 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsUniversidad de Concepción 4 cards, Cobresal 2 cards
  • Passes484 passes512 passesUniversidad de Concepción 484 passes, Cobresal 512 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%81%Universidad de Concepción 84%, Cobresal 81%
  • Shots inside box1 shot6 shotsUniversidad de Concepción 1 shot, Cobresal 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksUniversidad de Concepción 3 blocks, Cobresal 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveUniversidad de Concepción 1 save, Cobresal 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideUniversidad de Concepción 0 offsides, Cobresal 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Concepción favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Cobresal in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Concepción9 matchesCobresal9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.22 goals/match
13 shots/matchShots9/912.7 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target9/94.11 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession9/945.8%
5.44 corners/matchCorners9/95.44 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ConcepciónCobresal
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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