PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Deportes Limache 3–0 Universidad de Concepción · Primera División

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Limache won 3–0.

Shots
2514
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.460.67
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes Limache beat Universidad de Concepcion 3–0. Recorded in this match (Deportes Limache – Universidad de Concepcion): shots 25–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.46–0.67, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Limache have a visible home split

moderate

Deportes Limache's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Deportes Limache's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportes Limache's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots14 shotsDeportes Limache 25 shots, Universidad de Concepción 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsDeportes Limache 7 shots, Universidad de Concepción 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.46 xG0.67 xGDeportes Limache 2.46 xG, Universidad de Concepción 0.67 xG
  • Possession48%52%Deportes Limache 48%, Universidad de Concepción 52%
  • Corners8 corners9 cornersDeportes Limache 8 corners, Universidad de Concepción 9 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsDeportes Limache 7 fouls, Universidad de Concepción 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsDeportes Limache 0 cards, Universidad de Concepción 3 cards
  • Passes403 passes438 passesDeportes Limache 403 passes, Universidad de Concepción 438 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%86%Deportes Limache 84%, Universidad de Concepción 86%
  • Shots inside box17 shots9 shotsDeportes Limache 17 shots, Universidad de Concepción 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksDeportes Limache 4 blocks, Universidad de Concepción 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesDeportes Limache 5 saves, Universidad de Concepción 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesDeportes Limache 1 offside, Universidad de Concepción 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Limache favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Universidad de Concepción in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Limache10 matchesUniversidad de Concepción10 matches
2.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
2.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/41.11 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 13.1 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
43.7%Possession10/10● 47.9%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.8 corners/match
7.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes LimacheUniversidad de Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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