PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

Huachipato 5–1 Universidad de Concepción · Primera División

5–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Huachipato won 5–1.

Shots
1718
Shots on target
126
Expected goals
2.261.06
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Huachipato beat Universidad de Concepcion 5–1. Recorded in this match (Huachipato – Universidad de Concepcion): shots 17–18, shots on target 12–6, expected goals 2.26–1.06, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Huachipato have a visible home split

weak

Huachipato's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Universidad de Concepcion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Universidad de Concepcion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHuachipato · Universidad de Concepcion13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHuachipatoUniversidad de ConcepcionBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots18 shotsHuachipato 17 shots, Universidad de Concepción 18 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots6 shotsHuachipato 12 shots, Universidad de Concepción 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG1.06 xGHuachipato 2.26 xG, Universidad de Concepción 1.06 xG
  • Possession46%54%Huachipato 46%, Universidad de Concepción 54%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersHuachipato 2 corners, Universidad de Concepción 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsHuachipato 15 fouls, Universidad de Concepción 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsHuachipato 3 cards, Universidad de Concepción 3 cards
  • Passes388 passes468 passesHuachipato 388 passes, Universidad de Concepción 468 passes
  • Pass accuracy78%82%Huachipato 78%, Universidad de Concepción 82%
  • Shots inside box10 shots9 shotsHuachipato 10 shots, Universidad de Concepción 9 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block6 blocksHuachipato 1 block, Universidad de Concepción 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves7 savesHuachipato 5 saves, Universidad de Concepción 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesHuachipato 1 offside, Universidad de Concepción 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huachipato favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad de Concepción in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huachipato8 matchesUniversidad de Concepción8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
12.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.6 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession8/847.3%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.63 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 7 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsHuachipatoUniversidad de Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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