Primera División · 2026Estadio Ester Roa

Deportes Concepción 0–1 Colo Colo · Primera División

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Colo Colo won 0–1.

Shots
88
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.190.67
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Colo Colo beat Concepción 1–0. Recorded in this match (Concepción – Colo Colo): shots 8–8, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.19–0.67, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Colo Colo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Colo Colo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Concepción show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Concepción's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsConcepción · Colo Colo13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricConcepciónColo ColoBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match7.38 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.25 corners/matchCornersConcepción · Colo Colo● 6.38 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricConcepciónColo ColoBaseline
Corners5.25 corners/match6.38 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsDeportes Concepción 8 shots, Colo Colo 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsDeportes Concepción 1 shot, Colo Colo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.19 xG0.67 xGDeportes Concepción 0.19 xG, Colo Colo 0.67 xG
  • Possession33%67%Deportes Concepción 33%, Colo Colo 67%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersDeportes Concepción 5 corners, Colo Colo 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsDeportes Concepción 8 fouls, Colo Colo 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsDeportes Concepción 4 cards, Colo Colo 3 cards
  • Passes243 passes511 passesDeportes Concepción 243 passes, Colo Colo 511 passes
  • Pass accuracy67%84%Deportes Concepción 67%, Colo Colo 84%
  • Shots inside box2 shots5 shotsDeportes Concepción 2 shots, Colo Colo 5 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockDeportes Concepción 2 blocks, Colo Colo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveDeportes Concepción 3 saves, Colo Colo 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesDeportes Concepción 2 offsides, Colo Colo 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Concepción favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Colo Colo in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Concepción8 matchesColo Colo8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.5 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.64 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.8 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.25 shots/match
49.5%Possession8/8● 59.9%
5.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.38 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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