PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Universidad de Chile 4–0 Deportes La Serena · Primera División

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Chile won 4–0.

Shots
148
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.370.91
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Chile beat D. La Serena 4–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Chile – D. La Serena): shots 14–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.37–0.91, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Chile's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad de Chile's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad de Chile have a visible home split

weak

Universidad de Chile's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

D. La Serena show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

D. La Serena's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad de Chile · D. La Serena9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ChileD. La SerenaBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsUniversidad de Chile 14 shots, Deportes La Serena 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsUniversidad de Chile 6 shots, Deportes La Serena 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.91 xGUniversidad de Chile 1.37 xG, Deportes La Serena 0.91 xG
  • Possession49%51%Universidad de Chile 49%, Deportes La Serena 51%
  • Corners10 corners9 cornersUniversidad de Chile 10 corners, Deportes La Serena 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsUniversidad de Chile 11 fouls, Deportes La Serena 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsUniversidad de Chile 4 cards, Deportes La Serena 3 cards
  • Passes325 passes336 passesUniversidad de Chile 325 passes, Deportes La Serena 336 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%76%Universidad de Chile 77%, Deportes La Serena 76%
  • Shots inside box9 shots4 shotsUniversidad de Chile 9 shots, Deportes La Serena 4 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksUniversidad de Chile 7 blocks, Deportes La Serena 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesUniversidad de Chile 4 saves, Deportes La Serena 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesUniversidad de Chile 0 offsides, Deportes La Serena 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Universidad de Chile
1Draws
0Deportes La Serena
Deportes La Serena — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–1
Universidad de Chile — Deportes La Serena · Primera División3–1
Deportes La Serena — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–2
Universidad de Chile — Deportes La Serena · Primera División2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Chile favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes La Serena in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Chile8 matchesDeportes La Serena8 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
0.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
10.1 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.5 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target8/83.75 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession8/848.1%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners8/83.38 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ChileDeportes La Serena
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headUniversidad de Chile — Deportes La Serena
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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