PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Stora Valla

Degerfors IF 0–1 Malmö FF · Allsvenskan

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Malmö FF won 0–1.

Shots
715
Shots on target
03
Expected goals
0.933.81
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Malmo FF beat Degerfors IF 1–0. Recorded in this match (Degerfors IF – Malmo FF): shots 7–15, shots on target 0–3, expected goals 0.93–3.81, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Malmo FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.91 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots15 shotsDegerfors IF 7 shots, Malmö FF 15 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots3 shotsDegerfors IF 0 shots, Malmö FF 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG3.81 xGDegerfors IF 0.93 xG, Malmö FF 3.81 xG
  • Possession38%62%Degerfors IF 38%, Malmö FF 62%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersDegerfors IF 7 corners, Malmö FF 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsDegerfors IF 12 fouls, Malmö FF 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Degerfors IF
2Draws
3Malmö FF
Malmö FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–1
Degerfors IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–4
Degerfors IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–2
Malmö FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan5–0
Malmö FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Degerfors IF favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Malmö FF in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Degerfors IF11 matchesMalmö FF11 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.91 goals/match
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals9/5▲ 2.52 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.73 shots/match
47.7%Possession11/11● 53.8%
4.55 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.64 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDegerfors IFMalmö FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headDegerfors IF — Malmö FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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