Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeHitachi Energy ArenaFull-time recap

Vasteras SK FK

LDWLW

2–0Full-time recap

Degerfors IF

LDLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Vasteras SK FK	Degerfors IF
Shots	9 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	2 shots/match
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	1 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	22 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Vasteras SK FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Vasteras SK FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	1.83 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vasteras SK FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vasteras SK FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsVasteras SK FK · Degerfors IF11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Vasteras SK FK	Degerfors IF	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	14.3 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Vasteras SK FK favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 5 · 4 too close

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121 goals/match

1.92 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.58 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/90.91 xG/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/9▲1.53 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1211.4 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲11.3 shots/match

3.75 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/123.08 shots/match

4.58 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲4.08 shots/match

48.4%Possessionseason · 12/1248.6%

4.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.67 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.08 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1214.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1267%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vasteras SK FK34.4

Degerfors IF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vasteras SK FK32.3

Degerfors IF13.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vasteras SK FK42.7

Degerfors IF68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vasteras SK FK3.1

Degerfors IF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK71.9

Degerfors IF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK43.8

Degerfors IF31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vasteras SK FK36.7

Degerfors IF39.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.04 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/549.8%

5 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.78 xG/match▲Expected goals6/70.92 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots10/1012 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match

48.8%Possession10/1049%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121 goals/match

1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.58 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals7/90.91 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots12/1211.4 shots/match

3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.08 shots/match

48.4%Possession12/1248.6%

4.83 corners/matchCorners12/124.67 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/51.2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.13 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots6/512.6 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲4.8 shots/match

51%Possession6/552%

4.67 corners/matchCorners6/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/512.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4