PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Hitachi Energy Arena

Västerås SK 2–0 Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Västerås SK won 2–0.

Shots
914
Shots on target
22
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasteras SK FK beat Degerfors IF 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vasteras SK FK – Degerfors IF): shots 9–14, shots on target 2–2, possession 42%–58%, corners 1–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasteras SK FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vasteras SK FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vasteras SK FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVasteras SK FK · Degerfors IF11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVasteras SK FKDegerfors IFBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsVästerås SK 9 shots, Degerfors IF 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsVästerås SK 2 shots, Degerfors IF 2 shots
  • Possession42%58%Västerås SK 42%, Degerfors IF 58%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersVästerås SK 1 corner, Degerfors IF 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls22 foulsVästerås SK 15 fouls, Degerfors IF 22 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Västerås SK favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Västerås SK12 matchesDegerfors IF12 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121 goal/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/90.91 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots12/1211.4 shots/match
3.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.08 shots/match
48.4%Possession12/12● 48.6%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners12/124.67 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVästerås SKDegerfors IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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