PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Tele2 Arena

Hammarby IF 4–0 Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hammarby IF won 4–0.

Shots
228
Shots on target
111
Expected goals
3.320.71
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hammarby IF beat Degerfors IF 4–0. Recorded in this match (Hammarby IF – Degerfors IF): shots 22–8, shots on target 11–1, expected goals 3.32–0.71, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Degerfors IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHammarby IF · Degerfors IF11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHammarby IFDegerfors IFBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Hammarby IF have a visible home split

moderate

Hammarby IF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season20.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23.5 shots/match20.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsHammarby IF 22 shots, Degerfors IF 8 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots1 shotHammarby IF 11 shots, Degerfors IF 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.32 xG0.71 xGHammarby IF 3.32 xG, Degerfors IF 0.71 xG
  • Possession64%36%Hammarby IF 64%, Degerfors IF 36%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersHammarby IF 6 corners, Degerfors IF 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsHammarby IF 11 fouls, Degerfors IF 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardHammarby IF 0 cards, Degerfors IF 1 card
  • Passes678 passes374 passesHammarby IF 678 passes, Degerfors IF 374 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.8%79.1%Hammarby IF 88.8%, Degerfors IF 79.1%
  • Shots inside box13 shots4 shotsHammarby IF 13 shots, Degerfors IF 4 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksHammarby IF 4 blocks, Degerfors IF 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save7 savesHammarby IF 1 save, Degerfors IF 7 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides4 offsidesHammarby IF 0 offsides, Degerfors IF 4 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arman Taranis · Degerfors IF · 9′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrederik Winther · Hammarby IF · 20′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNoah Persson · Hammarby IF · 28′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 30′ · 0.00 xG · on targetNoah Persson · Hammarby IF · 32′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 36′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 40′ · 0.00 xG · on targetDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 41′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 44′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedArman Taranis · Degerfors IF · 45′ · 0.00 xG · on targetDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYiriyon Gideon · Degerfors IF · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNahir Besara · Hammarby IF · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMoise Kaboré · Hammarby IF · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNahir Besara · Hammarby IF · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYiriyon Gideon · Degerfors IF · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKazper Karlsson · Degerfors IF · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOscar Johansson Schellhas · Hammarby IF · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNahir Besara · Hammarby IF · 35′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 40′ · 0.10 xG · goalMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 69′ · 0.10 xG · goalTesfaldet Tekie · Hammarby IF · 73′ · 0.10 xG · goalMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 75′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hammarby IF: 20 shots, 11 on target, 0.73 xG. Degerfors IF: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.09 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Paulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 40′Montader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 69′Tesfaldet Tekie · Hammarby IF · 73′Montader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hammarby IF 0.73 xG · Degerfors IF 0.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Hammarby IF
2Draws
0Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan1–1
Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–0
Degerfors IF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan2–2
Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan3–1
Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hammarby IF favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hammarby IF14 matchesDegerfors IF13 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/130.92 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/131.77 goals/match
2.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/100.89 xG/match
20.4 shots/match ▲Shots14/1311.2 shots/match
7.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/132.92 shots/match
60% ●Possession14/1347.6%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners14/134.46 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jul 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHammarby IFDegerfors IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headHammarby IF — Degerfors IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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