Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTCScheduledStora VallaPre-match analysis

Degerfors IF

LDLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Djurgardens IF

LLWWD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.92 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Degerfors IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsDegerfors IF · Djurgardens IF16.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Degerfors IF	Djurgardens IF	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	16.3 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	12.1 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Djurgardens IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.6%▲PossessionDegerfors IF · Djurgardens IF57.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Degerfors IF	Djurgardens IF	Baseline
Possession	47.6%	57.8%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Degerfors IF favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Djurgardens IF in 10 · 3 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/12▲2.17 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/12▲1.25 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/5▲2.05 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/5▲1.01 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/12▲16.3 shots/match

12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/12▲11.1 shots/match

2.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/12▲6.58 shots/match

4.62 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/12▲4.25 shots/match

47.6%Possessionseason · 13/1257.8%

4.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/127.5 corners/match

4.23 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/124.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1211.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/12▲33%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/12▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Degerfors IF40.6

Djurgardens IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Degerfors IF11.5

Djurgardens IF86.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Degerfors IF53.1

Djurgardens IF82.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Degerfors IF15.6

Djurgardens IF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Degerfors IF90.6

Djurgardens IF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Degerfors IF25

Djurgardens IF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Degerfors IF35.1

Djurgardens IF76.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.2 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match

45.8%Possession5/559.2%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/58.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals7/5▲2.05 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.2 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.5 shots/match

46%Possession10/1057.4%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/107.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 12 matches

0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲2.17 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲1.25 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goals10/5▲2.05 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots13/12▲16.3 shots/match

2.92 shots/matchShots on target13/12▲6.58 shots/match

47.6%Possession13/1257.8%

4.46 corners/matchCorners13/127.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1211.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 5 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/5▲2 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/5▲1.2 goals/match

0.81 xG/matchExpected goals6/2—

10.6 shots/matchShots7/5▲15.6 shots/match

1.86 shots/matchShots on target7/5▲7 shots/match

46.1%Possession7/555.6%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/59.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFouls7/59.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.83 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness6 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4