PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Stora Valla

Degerfors IF 0–1 Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Djurgårdens IF won 0–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
07
Expected goals
1.182.13
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Djurgårdens IF beat Degerfors IF 1–0. Recorded in this match (Degerfors IF – Djurgårdens IF): shots 11–17, shots on target 0–7, expected goals 1.18–2.13, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Degerfors IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsDegerfors IF · Djurgårdens IF16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFDjurgårdens IFBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Djurgårdens IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.4%PossessionDegerfors IF · Djurgårdens IF● 56.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFDjurgårdens IFBaseline
Possession48.4%56.5%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsDegerfors IF 11 shots, Djurgårdens IF 17 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots7 shotsDegerfors IF 0 shots, Djurgårdens IF 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG2.13 xGDegerfors IF 1.18 xG, Djurgårdens IF 2.13 xG
  • Possession58%42%Degerfors IF 58%, Djurgårdens IF 42%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersDegerfors IF 6 corners, Djurgårdens IF 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsDegerfors IF 7 fouls, Djurgårdens IF 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardDegerfors IF 1 card, Djurgårdens IF 1 card
  • Passes528 passes395 passesDegerfors IF 528 passes, Djurgårdens IF 395 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.8%81%Degerfors IF 82.8%, Djurgårdens IF 81%
  • Shots inside box5 shots6 shotsDegerfors IF 5 shots, Djurgårdens IF 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksDegerfors IF 3 blocks, Djurgårdens IF 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves1 saveDegerfors IF 6 saves, Djurgårdens IF 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideDegerfors IF 0 offsides, Djurgårdens IF 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Max Larsson · Djurgårdens IF · 7′ · 0.00 xG · on targetBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 9′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRobin Dzabic · Degerfors IF · 27′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMatias Siltanen · Djurgårdens IF · 32′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPatric Åslund · Djurgårdens IF · 36′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSamba Diatara · Degerfors IF · 38′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Ohlsson · Degerfors IF · 40′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 47′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRobin Dzabic · Degerfors IF · 49′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 50′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBilal Hussein · Degerfors IF · 53′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNino Žugelj · Djurgårdens IF · 69′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMax Larsson · Djurgårdens IF · 76′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 76′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKristian Stromland Lien · Djurgårdens IF · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedChristos Almyras · Djurgårdens IF · 81′ · 0.00 xG · on targetYiriyon Gideon · Degerfors IF · 88′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHampus Finndell · Djurgårdens IF · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobin Dzabic · Degerfors IF · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Ohlsson · Degerfors IF · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElias Barsoum · Degerfors IF · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNino Žugelj · Djurgårdens IF · 78′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatias Siltanen · Djurgårdens IF · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMax Larsson · Djurgårdens IF · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Ohlsson · Degerfors IF · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristian Stromland Lien · Djurgårdens IF · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 7′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 43′ · 0.19 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Degerfors IF: 11 shots, 0 on target, 0.07 xG. Djurgårdens IF: 17 shots, 7 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Bo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Degerfors IF 0.07 xG · Djurgårdens IF 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Degerfors IF
1Draws
2Djurgårdens IF
Degerfors IF — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan1–1
Djurgårdens IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan5–1
Djurgårdens IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan4–1
Degerfors IF — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan2–1
Degerfors IF — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Degerfors IF favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Djurgårdens IF in 12

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Degerfors IF14 matchesDjurgårdens IF13 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲ 1.15 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals11/6▲ 2.07 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots14/13▲ 16.3 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲ 6.62 shots/match
48.4%Possession14/13● 56.5%
4.57 corners/matchCorners14/13● 7.38 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1311.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDegerfors IFDjurgårdens IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headDegerfors IF — Djurgårdens IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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