PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar FF 2–1 Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Kalmar FF won 2–1.

Shots
76
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.680.49
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kalmar FF beat Mjällby AIF 2–1. Recorded in this match (Kalmar FF – Mjällby AIF): shots 7–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.68–0.49, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kalmar FF's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Mjällby AIF have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionKalmar FF · Mjällby AIF● 55%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKalmar FFMjällby AIFBaseline
Possession47%55%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots6 shotsKalmar FF 7 shots, Mjällby AIF 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsKalmar FF 3 shots, Mjällby AIF 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG0.49 xGKalmar FF 0.68 xG, Mjällby AIF 0.49 xG
  • Possession45%55%Kalmar FF 45%, Mjällby AIF 55%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersKalmar FF 3 corners, Mjällby AIF 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsKalmar FF 13 fouls, Mjällby AIF 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsKalmar FF 1 card, Mjällby AIF 4 cards
  • Passes429 passes522 passesKalmar FF 429 passes, Mjällby AIF 522 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%81.4%Kalmar FF 79%, Mjällby AIF 81.4%
  • Shots inside box5 shots1 shotKalmar FF 5 shots, Mjällby AIF 1 shot
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksKalmar FF 1 block, Mjällby AIF 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveKalmar FF 1 save, Mjällby AIF 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideKalmar FF 1 offside, Mjällby AIF 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Elliot Stroud · Mjällby AIF · 8′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedElliot Stroud · Mjällby AIF · 30′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarius Söderbäck · Kalmar FF · 37′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedElliot Stroud · Mjällby AIF · 43′ · 0.00 xG · on targetCharlie Rosenqvist · Kalmar FF · 53′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRobert Gojani · Kalmar FF · 53′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Kjaer · Mjällby AIF · 88′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarius Söderbäck · Kalmar FF · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharles Sagoe Jr. · Kalmar FF · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTony Miettinen · Mjällby AIF · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElliot Stroud · Mjällby AIF · 3′ · 0.10 xG · goalAboubacar Keita · Kalmar FF · 17′ · 0.10 xG · goalCharles Sagoe Jr. · Kalmar FF · 69′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kalmar FF: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.22 xG. Mjällby AIF: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Aboubacar Keita · Kalmar FF · 17′Charles Sagoe Jr. · Kalmar FF · 69′Elliot Stroud · Mjällby AIF · 3′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kalmar FF 0.22 xG · Mjällby AIF 0.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Kalmar FF
1Draws
4Mjällby AIF
Kalmar FF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan0–3
Mjällby AIF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan3–2
Kalmar FF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan0–2
Mjällby AIF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan1–1
Kalmar FF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kalmar FF favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Mjällby AIF in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kalmar FF14 matchesMjällby AIF14 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.69 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots14/1413.8 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5.14 shots/match
47%Possession14/14● 55%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners14/144.93 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKalmar FFMjällby AIF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headKalmar FF — Mjällby AIF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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