Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 15:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Kalmar FF

WLWLD

vsPre-match analysis

Mjallby AIF

DDDLD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mjallby AIF's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Mjallby AIF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mjallby AIF's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.2 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kalmar FF favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Mjallby AIF in 6 · 6 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.46 goals/match

1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.89 xG/match

1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.09 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1314.4 shots/match

13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1315.3 shots/match

4.54 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲5.38 shots/match

4.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.77 shots/match

47.2%Possessionseason · 13/1355%

5.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.15 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲4.08 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲31%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kalmar FF25

Mjallby AIF78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kalmar FF37.5

Mjallby AIF65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kalmar FF54.2

Mjallby AIF44.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kalmar FF78.1

Mjallby AIF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF25

Mjallby AIF56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF62.5

Mjallby AIF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kalmar FF43.8

Mjallby AIF61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

44.8%Possession5/557.2%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals6/4▲2.22 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots10/1014.1 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.4 shots/match

47.3%Possession10/1055%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.46 goals/match

1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.89 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots13/1314.4 shots/match

4.54 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲5.38 shots/match

47.2%Possession13/1355%

5.31 corners/matchCorners13/135.15 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.86 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.4 shots/matchShots7/713.1 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.57 shots/match

49%Possession7/753.4%

6.71 corners/matchCorners7/73 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.94 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4