Allsvenskan · 2026Mon, 20 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Kalmar FF

LWLWL

2–2Full-time recap

Malmo FF

LLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Kalmar FF	Malmo FF
Shots	11 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.23 xG/match	1.55 xG/match▲
Possession	31%	69%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Malmo FF have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Malmo FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.8 goals/match	2.08 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmo FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.2%▲PossessionKalmar FF · Malmo FF55.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Kalmar FF	Malmo FF	Baseline
Possession	47.2%	55.6%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kalmar FF favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Malmo FF in 5 · 4 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲2.08 goals/match

1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.69 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/7▲2.49 xG/match

1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/71.93 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1314.3 shots/match

13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1314.6 shots/match

4.54 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.92 shots/match

4.85 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.54 shots/match

47.2%Possessionseason · 13/1355.6%

5.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.85 corners/match

5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲31%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kalmar FF25

Malmo FF84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kalmar FF37.5

Malmo FF62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kalmar FF54.2

Malmo FF30.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kalmar FF78.1

Malmo FF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF25

Malmo FF84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF62.5

Malmo FF40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kalmar FF43.8

Malmo FF59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲2.98 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

44.8%Possession5/564%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲2.49 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots10/10▲15 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match

47.3%Possession10/1058.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲2.08 goals/match

1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.69 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲2.49 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots13/1314.3 shots/match

4.54 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.92 shots/match

47.2%Possession13/1355.6%

5.31 corners/matchCorners13/134.85 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.29 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match

—Expected goals2/41.96 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots7/713.1 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.57 shots/match

49%Possession7/754.1%

6.71 corners/matchCorners7/75 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.21 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4