PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Eleda Stadion

Malmö FF 4–0 IFK Göteborg · Allsvenskan

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Malmö FF won 4–0.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
3.31.81
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Malmo FF beat IFK Goteborg 4–0. Recorded in this match (Malmo FF – IFK Goteborg): shots 18–16, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 3.3–1.81, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IFK Goteborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsMalmö FF 18 shots, IFK Göteborg 16 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsMalmö FF 10 shots, IFK Göteborg 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.3 xG1.81 xGMalmö FF 3.3 xG, IFK Göteborg 1.81 xG
  • Possession62%38%Malmö FF 62%, IFK Göteborg 38%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersMalmö FF 7 corners, IFK Göteborg 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsMalmö FF 16 fouls, IFK Göteborg 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Malmö FF
2Draws
1IFK Göteborg
Malmö FF — IFK Göteborg · Allsvenskan0–0
IFK Göteborg — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–0
Malmö FF — IFK Göteborg · Allsvenskan2–1
IFK Göteborg — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan0–3
Malmö FF — IFK Göteborg · Allsvenskan2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Malmö FF favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · IFK Göteborg in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Malmö FF12 matchesIFK Göteborg12 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.33 goals/match
2.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/71.49 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 15.8 shots/match
5.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.75 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession12/1250.2%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.25 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMalmö FFIFK Göteborg
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headMalmö FF — IFK Göteborg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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