Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeEleda StadionFull-time recap

Malmo FF

LLLWW

4–0Full-time recap

IFK Goteborg

LWDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Malmo FF	IFK Goteborg
Shots	18 shots/match▲	16 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	3.3 xG/match▲	1.81 xG/match
Possession	62%	38%
Corners	7 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

IFK Goteborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.17 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Malmo FF favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · IFK Goteborg in 5 · 3 too close

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.17 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/122.33 goals/match

2.65 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/71.49 xG/match

2.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/7▲1.64 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲15.8 shots/match

14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲14 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/124.75 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲5.33 shots/match

54.5%Possessionseason · 12/1250.2%

4.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.25 corners/match

6.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲5.42 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/120%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Malmo FF78.1

IFK Goteborg59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Malmo FF62.5

IFK Goteborg51.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Malmo FF29.2

IFK Goteborg28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Malmo FF40.6

IFK Goteborg84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF84.4

IFK Goteborg50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF43.8

IFK Goteborg59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Malmo FF60.2

IFK Goteborg60.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

2.85 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.97 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲18 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target5/56 shots/match

60%Possession5/546.2%

4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.4 goals/match

2.65 xG/match▲Expected goals6/51.58 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.9 shots/match

55%Possession10/1047.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/122.33 goals/match

2.65 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.49 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots12/12▲15.8 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.75 shots/match

54.5%Possession12/1250.2%

4.83 corners/matchCorners12/125.25 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.43 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/72.86 goals/match

3.21 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.43 xG/match

15.7 shots/matchShots6/715.7 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/74.57 shots/match

57.3%Possession6/750.3%

4.67 corners/matchCorners6/74.86 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/711.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4