Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 4 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Halmstad

LLDWL

1–3Full-time recap

Vasteras SK FK

LLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Halmstad	Vasteras SK FK
Shots	9 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.91 xG/match	4.21 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	3 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Vasteras SK FK have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Halmstad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.91 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Vasteras SK FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.7%▲PossessionHalmstad · Vasteras SK FK49%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Halmstad	Vasteras SK FK	Baseline
Possession	40.7%	49%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Halmstad favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Vasteras SK FK in 8 · 5 too close

0.91 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.82 goals/match

2.09 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/112.09 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/7▲1.61 xG/match

2.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/7▲1.8 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1111.4 shots/match

17.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲14.3 shots/match

3.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲3.91 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.82 shots/match

40.7%Possessionseason · 11/1149%

2.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/115.18 corners/match

6.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲5.45 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/119%

73%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Halmstad3.1

Vasteras SK FK46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Halmstad14.6

Vasteras SK FK38.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Halmstad12.5

Vasteras SK FK33.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Halmstad65.6

Vasteras SK FK9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Halmstad81.2

Vasteras SK FK71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Halmstad3.1

Vasteras SK FK59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Halmstad31.2

Vasteras SK FK45.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

40%Possession5/553.8%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match

2.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/7▲1.61 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.1 shots/match

40.4%Possession10/1049.7%

2.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.82 goals/match

2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/112.09 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/7▲1.61 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots11/1111.4 shots/match

3.18 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲3.91 shots/match

40.7%Possession11/1149%

2.82 corners/matchCorners11/115.18 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.67 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.83 goals/match

0.69 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲1.85 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots6/610 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲3.67 shots/match

45.2%Possession6/645.8%

2.5 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

14 fouls/matchFouls6/614.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

35 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/134 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4