PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Halmstads BK 1–3 Västerås SK · Allsvenskan

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Västerås SK won 1–3.

Shots
919
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
0.914.21
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasteras SK FK beat Halmstad 3–1. Recorded in this match (Halmstad – Vasteras SK FK): shots 9–19, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 0.91–4.21, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Halmstad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Vasteras SK FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.7%PossessionHalmstad · Vasteras SK FK● 49%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHalmstadVasteras SK FKBaseline
Possession40.7%49%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots19 shotsHalmstads BK 9 shots, Västerås SK 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsHalmstads BK 3 shots, Västerås SK 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG4.21 xGHalmstads BK 0.91 xG, Västerås SK 4.21 xG
  • Possession42%58%Halmstads BK 42%, Västerås SK 58%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersHalmstads BK 3 corners, Västerås SK 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsHalmstads BK 13 fouls, Västerås SK 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Halmstads BK
0Draws
1Västerås SK
Halmstads BK — Västerås SK · Allsvenskan0–1
Västerås SK — Halmstads BK · Allsvenskan0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Halmstads BK favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Västerås SK in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Halmstads BK11 matchesVästerås SK11 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.82 goals/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/112.09 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/7▲ 1.61 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.4 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 3.91 shots/match
40.7%Possession11/11● 49%
2.82 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.18 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHalmstads BKVästerås SK
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headHalmstads BK — Västerås SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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