Allsvenskan · 2026Fri, 3 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStudenternas IPFull-time recap

Sirius

WWWWW

4–4Full-time recap

Mjallby AIF

WWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sirius	Mjallby AIF
Shots	19 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Expected goals	3.43 xG/match▲	1.1 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	9 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mjallby AIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Mjallby AIF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mjallby AIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.64 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sirius show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match▲ShotsSirius · Mjallby AIF13.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sirius	Mjallby AIF	Baseline
Shots	15.1 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	12.9 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sirius favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Mjallby AIF in 1 · 3 too close

2.82 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.64 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.36 goals/match

2.74 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.31 xG/match

0.72 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/52.25 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1113.1 shots/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1116.8 shots/match

5.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/115.45 shots/match

3.82 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115.18 shots/match

47.1%Possessionseason · 11/1154.1%

5.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.64 corners/match

5.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲4.36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sirius28.1

Mjallby AIF84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sirius82.3

Mjallby AIF59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sirius71.9

Mjallby AIF38.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sirius90.6

Mjallby AIF28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sirius21.9

Mjallby AIF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sirius65.6

Mjallby AIF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sirius59.4

Mjallby AIF51.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

16.4 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match

45.8%Possession5/553.2%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

2.95 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.31 xG/match

15.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1013 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.3 shots/match

46.5%Possession10/1054.8%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

2.82 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.64 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.36 goals/match

2.74 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.31 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots11/1113.1 shots/match

5.82 shots/match▲Shots on target11/115.45 shots/match

47.1%Possession11/1154.1%

5.27 corners/matchCorners11/114.64 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

2.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.86 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.71 goals/match

2.95 xG/matchExpected goals4/2—

16.3 shots/match▲Shots6/713.1 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target6/75.57 shots/match

47.3%Possession6/753.4%

5.67 corners/matchCorners6/73 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/712.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

34.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/139 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4