Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStrandvallenFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMjallby AIFAIK Stockholm
Shots27 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals4.78 xG/match1.28 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

AIK Stockholm have a visible away split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mjallby AIF favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · AIK Stockholm in 2 · 4 too close

1.58 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/121.33 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.5 goals/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/60.99 xG/match
2.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/62.35 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1213.3 shots/match
16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1215.3 shots/match
5.58 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/124.83 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/124.75 shots/match
54.7%Possessionseason · 12/1251.9%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/126.33 corners/match
4.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/125.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 1/0
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mjallby AIF84.4
AIK Stockholm65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mjallby AIF63.5
AIK Stockholm42.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mjallby AIF37.5
AIK Stockholm45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mjallby AIF46.9
AIK Stockholm40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mjallby AIF56.2
AIK Stockholm37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mjallby AIF40.6
AIK Stockholm90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mjallby AIF57
AIK Stockholm55.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
2.35 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.92 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/547%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards1/0
13 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.91 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.92 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots10/1012 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
54.5%Possession10/1051.1%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match
Cards1/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.33 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.99 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots12/1213.3 shots/match
5.58 shots/matchShots on target12/124.83 shots/match
54.7%Possession12/1251.9%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/126.33 corners/match
Cards1/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/71.57 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/71.29 goals/match
2.11 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.92 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots5/710.6 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/74 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/750%
7 corners/matchCorners5/75.43 corners/match
Cards1/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/712.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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