PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Strandvallen

Mjällby AIF 1–2 AIK · Allsvenskan

1–2Full-time analysis

AIK

LDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AIK won 1–2.

Shots
277
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
4.781.28
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

AIK Stockholm beat Mjallby AIF 2–1. Recorded in this match (Mjallby AIF – AIK Stockholm): shots 27–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 4.78–1.28, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AIK Stockholm have a visible away split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots7 shotsMjällby AIF 27 shots, AIK 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsMjällby AIF 7 shots, AIK 3 shots
  • Expected goals4.78 xG1.28 xGMjällby AIF 4.78 xG, AIK 1.28 xG
  • Possession61%39%Mjällby AIF 61%, AIK 39%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersMjällby AIF 5 corners, AIK 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsMjällby AIF 15 fouls, AIK 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Mjällby AIF
1Draws
3AIK
Mjällby AIF — AIK · Allsvenskan2–0
AIK — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan2–1
AIK — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan1–0
Mjällby AIF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–1
AIK — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mjällby AIF favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · AIK in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mjällby AIF12 matchesAIK12 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.33 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.99 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1213.3 shots/match
5.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.83 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession12/1251.9%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.33 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMjällby AIFAIK
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headMjällby AIF — AIK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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