PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Gamla Ullevi

IFK Göteborg 1–2 AIK · Allsvenskan

1–2Full-time analysis

AIK

DLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AIK won 1–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.80.79
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

AIK Stockholm beat IFK Goteborg 2–1. Recorded in this match (IFK Goteborg – AIK Stockholm): shots 19–10, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.8–0.79, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IFK Goteborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK Stockholm have a visible away split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsIFK Göteborg 19 shots, AIK 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsIFK Göteborg 3 shots, AIK 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG0.79 xGIFK Göteborg 1.8 xG, AIK 0.79 xG
  • Possession51%49%IFK Göteborg 51%, AIK 49%
  • Corners10 corners7 cornersIFK Göteborg 10 corners, AIK 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsIFK Göteborg 14 fouls, AIK 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1IFK Göteborg
1Draws
3AIK
IFK Göteborg — AIK · Allsvenskan2–1
AIK — IFK Göteborg · Allsvenskan3–0
IFK Göteborg — AIK · Allsvenskan1–2
AIK — IFK Göteborg · Allsvenskan5–2
IFK Göteborg — AIK · Allsvenskan1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IFK Göteborg favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · AIK in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IFK Göteborg11 matchesAIK11 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.27 goals/match
2.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/50.93 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots11/1113.8 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5 shots/match
51.3%Possession11/11● 53.1%
5.36 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6.73 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIFK GöteborgAIK
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headIFK Göteborg — AIK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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