Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 5 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeGamla UlleviFull-time recap

IFK Goteborg

LLWDW

1–2Full-time recap

AIK Stockholm

DLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	IFK Goteborg	AIK Stockholm
Shots	19 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.8 xG/match▲	0.79 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	10 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

IFK Goteborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.27 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK Stockholm have a visible away split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IFK Goteborg favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · AIK Stockholm in 5 · 6 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.27 goals/match

2.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.55 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/50.93 xG/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/51.86 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1113.8 shots/match

13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1114.2 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲5 shots/match

4.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.55 shots/match

51.3%Possessionseason · 11/1153.1%

5.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/116.73 corners/match

5.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/115.36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲9%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IFK Goteborg65.6

AIK Stockholm71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IFK Goteborg52.1

AIK Stockholm50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IFK Goteborg32.3

AIK Stockholm47.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IFK Goteborg84.4

AIK Stockholm46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IFK Goteborg65.6

AIK Stockholm28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IFK Goteborg65.6

AIK Stockholm96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IFK Goteborg64.8

AIK Stockholm61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.93 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots5/513 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match

47.6%Possession5/550.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.93 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.7 shots/match

5.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match

50.4%Possession10/1052.8%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.27 goals/match

2.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.55 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals6/50.93 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots11/1113.8 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5 shots/match

51.3%Possession11/1153.1%

5.36 corners/matchCorners11/116.73 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.57 xG/match▲Expected goals3/40.83 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/611.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/64.17 shots/match

50%Possession5/651.8%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/66 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

35 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/136 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4