Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 5 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

IF Elfsborg

WDDDD

1–2Full-time recap

Hammarby FF

WWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	IF Elfsborg	Hammarby FF
Shots	14 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.02 xG/match	2.48 xG/match▲
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	3 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Hammarby FF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Hammarby FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsIF Elfsborg · Hammarby FF20.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	IF Elfsborg	Hammarby FF	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	20.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	12.8 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Hammarby FF have a visible away split

moderate

Hammarby FF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season20.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.2 shots/match	20.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Hammarby FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hammarby FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	2.17 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IF Elfsborg favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Hammarby FF in 5 · 7 too close

1.42 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲2.17 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.17 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/62.57 xG/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/61.25 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲20.4 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲11.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲7 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/124 shots/match

44.7%Possessionseason · 12/1260%

3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.58 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲3 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1210.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1225%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IF Elfsborg9.4

Hammarby FF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IF Elfsborg19.8

Hammarby FF94.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IF Elfsborg78.1

Hammarby FF80.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IF Elfsborg9.4

Hammarby FF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg15.6

Hammarby FF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg9.4

Hammarby FF78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IF Elfsborg10.9

Hammarby FF70.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

—Expected goals1/32.69 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

47.6%Possession5/556%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.3 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/62.57 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲21.4 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.5 shots/match

44.7%Possession10/1059.7%

3.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

1.42 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲2.17 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.17 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals4/6▲2.57 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots12/12▲20.4 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲7 shots/match

44.7%Possession12/1260%

3.5 corners/matchCorners12/125.58 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/61.5 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.77 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots7/6▲16.2 shots/match

4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲5.33 shots/match

40.6%Possession7/660.7%

3.57 corners/matchCorners7/64.67 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/69.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

36.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/135.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jul 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4