PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.271.74
Expected goals
2.11.46
Shots
17.511.7
Possession
56%59.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: san Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: san Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

San Diego show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

San Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVancouver Whitecaps · San Diego11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsSan DiegoBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against8.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

San Diego's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.74 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vancouver Whitecaps26 matchesSan Diego FC27 matches
2.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/271.74 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.74 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/241.46 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots25/2711.7 shots/match
6.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/274.44 shots/match
56%Possession25/27● 59.7%
5.92 corners/match ●Corners25/274.7 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/123.5 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2710.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vancouver Whitecaps
1Draws
1San Diego FC
San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer2–4
San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer1–3
San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer1–1
Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC · Major League Soccer2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVancouver WhitecapsSan Diego FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headVancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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